BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Fort Dodge

Class: 4A Class Rank: 17 Conference: (13-7) Overall: (16-8) Overall Strength =   98.02

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/29/2005 Away    L *  90.88  55   65   4A   16 (15- 9) Indianola              -6.73     -3.27                      
  2 12/02/2005 Home    L *  91.06  48   53   4A   18 (14-11) Johnston               -6.55      1.55                      
  3 12/06/2005 Away    L *  99.17  48   57   4A    5 (26- 0) Des Moines Hoover       1.56    -10.56                      
  4 12/09/2005 Away    W * 101.42  64   46   4A   42 ( 5-17) WDM Valley              3.80     14.20                      
  5 12/13/2005 Away    W * 118.13  62   42   4A   23 (12-10) Des Moines Roosevelt   20.51     -0.51                      
  6 12/16/2005 Home    W *  88.86  45   43   4A   34 ( 9-14) Marshalltown           -8.76     10.76                      
  7 01/03/2006 Away    W * 105.37  72   56   4A   35 ( 9-13) Des Moines Lincoln      7.76      8.24                      
  8 01/06/2006 Away    W *  92.24  77   63   4A   46 ( 2-20) Newton                 -5.38     19.38                      
  9 01/07/2006 Away    W   104.05  55   34   3A   41 (10-12) Webster City            6.44     14.56                      
 10 01/10/2006 Away    L *  89.77  59   71   4A   13 (14- 9) Ankeny                 -7.84     -4.16                      
 11 01/13/2006 Away    W * 104.56  56   47   4A   27 (11-12) Ames                    6.94      2.06                      
 12 01/20/2006 Home    W *  87.99  53   52   4A   33 ( 5-17) Mason City             -9.63     10.63                      
 13 01/27/2006 Home    W *  98.61  65   46   4A   42 ( 5-17) WDM Valley              1.00     18.00                      
 14 01/31/2006 Away    W * 104.66  67   53   4A   34 ( 9-14) Marshalltown            7.05      6.95                      
 15 02/03/2006 Home    W *  90.44  63   47   4A   46 ( 2-20) Newton                 -7.18     23.18                      
 16 02/07/2006 Home    L *  90.03  64   66   4A   25 (11-13) Southeast Polk         -7.58      5.58                      
 17 02/10/2006 Home    W *  99.75  72   64   4A   27 (11-12) Ames                    2.14      5.86                      
 18 02/14/2006 Home    L * 102.54  58   59   4A    6 (20- 3) Urbandale               4.92     -5.92                      
 19 02/17/2006 Away    W * 101.79  63   52   4A   33 ( 5-17) Mason City              4.17      6.83                      
 20 02/21/2006 Away    L *  96.51  53   62   4A    8 (19- 4) WDM Dowling            -1.10     -7.90                      
 21 02/24/2006 Home    W *  88.17  74   52   4A   48 ( 0-22) Des Moines North       -9.44 *   31.44                      
 22 03/03/2006 Home    W   100.97  73   57   4A   36 ( 5-18) Waterloo East           3.36     12.64                      
 23 03/07/2006 Neutral W   107.92  86   80   4A   10 (16- 7) Cedar Falls            10.31     -4.31                      
 24 03/15/2006 Neutral L    87.84  49   66   4A    7 (19- 7) Sioux City East        -9.77     -7.23                      
      Averages              97.61  61.7 55.5

Best game:  118.13 = 20 point win over Des Moines Roosevelt
Worst game:  87.84 = 17 point loss to Sioux City East
Team stdev:   7.93